This piece is part of Fighting for Our Lives: The Movement for Medicare for All, a Truthout original series.
Don't believe for a second that the GOP's threat to your health care has passed.
Although the GOP has failed, for now, to advance a wholesale Affordable Care Act (ACA) repeal bill, the hard right hasn't given up on its goal of shredding the ACA and Medicaid. They've merely switched strategies.
Andy Slavitt, who oversaw the ACA and Medicaid under Obama, calls the GOP's new strategy a "synthetic repeal": dismantling health care piece by piece through executive orders, sabotaging the ACA and a budget tax plan with hidden health care cuts. It's an insidious end-run around the legislative process. But although there's no single bill to defeat, the citizenry still has the tools to fight back -- and even lay the groundwork to go on the offense.
Trump's anti-ACA executive orders could, in theory, be blocked by new legislation, but that's unlikely in this Congress. In the near term, the best defense is through the courts -- and attorneys general from New York to California are already on the case.
The Republicans want you to believe that their drive for tax cuts for the rich has nothing to do with health care at all.
Trump's other sabotage efforts, meanwhile, are being directly targeted by new bipartisan legislation. The Alexander-Murray health care bill announced this week would reinstate so-called cost sharing reduction (CSR) payments -- reimbursements to insurers for payments they are required to provide to their low-income customers -- for two years. It would also go further: It would reinstate ACA outreach budgets that have been spitefully slashed by the Trump administration, unclog approval for health care innovation in states like Minnesota, and -- vitally -- shift momentum in Congress away from repeal and towards making the system work.
Alexander-Murray's prospects are unclear. Citizens' voices can improve them. Every day that goes by without this bill prolongs the chaos and disruption that Trump is intentionally inflicting on insurance markets and the people who rely on them for coverage. The bill is like something teleported in from an alternate, gentler reality: It's a genuine bipartisan compromise that moves the country forward. It's worth fighting for.
Meanwhile, the big kahuna for the Republicans is an effort that they want you to believe has nothing to do with health care at all: their drive for tax cuts for the rich.
In the ACA repeal fight, Republicans tried to rip away people's health care to pay for a tax cut for the wealthy. In the tax fight, Republicans are trying to pass a tax cut for the wealthy -- that would ultimately be paid for by ripping away people's health care. These are two sides of the same class-warfare coin. The GOP budget-and-tax framework that passed on October 19 called for expansive domestic spending cuts, which Democratic budget analysts contend would include more than $1 trillion in cuts from Medicaid and hundreds of billions from Medicare. If they pass their tax plan, which hands 80 percent of the benefits to the top 1 percent, then, like clockwork, health care cut bills are sure to follow -- now given added momentum by the manufactured ballooning of the deficit.
Ultimately, the fate of health care depends on who holds power. The GOP's electoral prospects in 2018 hinge in no small part on their ability to reward their backers through tax-break giveaways -- which is yet another reason to treat that battle as an all-hands-on-deck priority. But elections must also be contested directly. And we don't have to wait until 2018; there are major elections coming up this very year.
The ultimate goal isn't simply resistance. It's health care for all.
On November 7, 2017, voters in Maine will weigh in on a ballot initiative to expand Medicaid there. Voters in Virginia will choose their next governor -- either Democrat Ralph Northam, who wants to expand Medicaid, or Republican Ed Gillespie, who decidedly does not. In New Jersey, Democrat Phil Murphy is expected to trounce Republican Kim Guadagno in the race to replace Chris Christie -- but the margin of victory, and consequent mandate, is up in the air. In those states and beyond, voters will send a message about political momentum that could hasten a growing wave of Republican retirements in the US House (and even Senate), which in turn could affect future party control.
A month later, another contest looms: Democrat and renowned anti-KKK prosecutor Doug Jones is squaring off against dominionist demagogue Roy Moore in Alabama in the fight for Jeff Sessions's old Senate seat. Amazingly, the latest poll shows them tied. If Democrats pull off an upset in Alabama, the risk of repeal fades further -- and the Republicans' path to passing tax cuts for the rich becomes yet narrower.
After that, it's a battle royale of the midterm Congressional elections -- as well as gubernatorial and down-ballot races across the country. If health care's allies win big, the threat of repeal is off the table. But if Republicans hold the House and gain a seat in the Senate (or if a Senate seat -- say, McCain's -- goes to a pro-repeal Republican in the meantime), the GOP could easily come after the ACA once again. Republicans are well aware that their "skinny repeal" bill failed by a single vote last July.
In the long run, though, the ultimate goal isn't simply resistance. It's health care for all. We need to do more than protect the health care we've got -- we should be profoundly reforming, improving and extending care to cover every person in the country.
We can sustain our energy by holding the vision of truly universal health care in our sights.
To get there, progressives must win control of the House, Senate and White House -- and then seize the moment that follows. Our to-do list will be a long one: restoring democracy and reversing voter suppression; comprehensive immigration reform; a new wave of anti-monopoly legislation; and much else. But health care will remain central. And an extraordinarily hopeful debate is underway within the Democratic Party. Bernie Sanders's historic Medicare for All bill rolled out with a head-turning 16 co-sponsoring senators -- including most of those considered potential 2020 contenders. Other Democrats, including Senators Chris Murphy and Brian Schatz, are hard at work on other visionary bills to move the nation toward universal coverage. The ensuing debate could prove as vital and productive as the debate over Democratic health care proposals in the 2007-8 Democratic primary.
On health care, the center of gravity in the Democratic Party and the country at large has shifted markedly left. Even as we fight to prevent the nation from going back -- against sabotage, against an unaffordable tax giveaway and in elections year by year -- we can sustain our energy by holding the vision of truly universal health care in our sights. Progress is never automatic. But let's build a movement strong enough to ensure that history is on our side.